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South Africa trade gap narrows as oil imports decline

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South Africa trade gap narrows as oil imports decline

South Africa trade gap narrows as oil imports decline
Photo credit: World of Change

South Africa’s trade deficit narrowed in February as oil imports fell and gold and diamond exports increased.

The trade gap shrank to 8.5 billion rand ($700 million) from a record 24.2 billion rand in January, the Pretoria-based Revenue Service said in an e-mailed statement on Tuesday. The median estimate of 17 economists surveyed by Bloomberg was for a shortfall of 5.7 billion rand. The deficit for the first two months of the year was 32.7 billion rand compared with 15.5 billion rand in 2014.

The volume of oil imports fell 22 percent in February as the price of Brent crude started to recover from an almost six-year low on Jan. 13. Importers such as Eskom Holdings SOC Ltd. used the record-low oil costs to step up their purchases. The utility, which generates about 95 percent of South Africa’s power, is burning more diesel as it struggles to meet demand.

“For the rest of 2015 we expect exports to recover and that should help us to record a lower trade deficit,” Isaac Matshego, an economist at Nedbank Group Ltd., said by phone from Johannesburg. “All of this depends on the avoidance of major production disruptions.”

The gap on the current account, the broadest measure of trade in goods and services, averaged 5.4 percent of gross domestic product in 2014 and will narrow to 4.5 percent this year, according to the National Treasury. A current-account deficit of close to 5 percent of GDP puts pressure on the rand, Jeffrey Schultz, an economist at BNP Paribas Cadiz Securities in Johannesburg, said by phone.

The rand declined 0.4 percent and to 12.1979 per dollar as of 2:49 p.m. in Johannesburg. Yields on government rand bonds due December 2026 fell six basis points to 7.89 percent.

Exports Climb

Exports rose 15 percent to 76.9 billion rand in February as shipments of vehicles and transport equipment surged 74 percent and sales of precious metals and stones increased 30 percent. Shipments of mineral products, which include coal and iron ore, fell by 1.9 billion rand, or 11 percent.

Imports fell 6.5 percent to 85.3 billion rand as purchases of mineral products, which include oil, dropped 23 percent. Machinery and electronics purchases declined by 2.4 billion rand, or 11 percent.

The monthly trade figures are often volatile, reflecting the timing of shipments of commodities such as oil and diamonds.


SA Trade Statistics for February 2015 (SARS): Highlights

The R8.48 billion deficit for February 2015 is due to exports of R76.85 billion and imports of R85.33 billion. Exports increased from January 2015 to February 2015 by R9.78 billion (14.6%) and imports decreased from January 2015 to February 2015 by R5.96 billion (6.5%). The cumulative deficit for 2015 is R32.70 billion compared to R15.49 billion in 2014.

The trade data excluding BLNS for February 2015 recorded a trade deficit of R16.85 billion. This is a result of exports of R66.05 billion and imports of R82.90 billion. Exports increased from January 2015 to February 2015 by R8.33 billion (14.4%) and imports decreased from January 2015 to February 2015 by R6.13 billion (6.9%). The cumulative deficit for 2015 is R48.16 billion compared to R31.04 billion in 2014.

Trade statistics with the BLNS for February 2015 recorded a trade surplus of R8.37 billion. This is a result of exports of R10.79 billion and imports of R2.43 billion. Exports increased from January 2015 to February 2015 by R1.46 billion (15.6%) and imports increased from January 2015 to February 2015 by R0.17 billion (7.7%). The cumulative surplus for 2015 is R15.46 billion compared to R15.56 billion in 2014.

 

Trade highlights by category

The month-on-month export movements:

R’ million
 
Section:
Including BLNS:
Vehicle & Transport Equipment
+ R 4 634
+ 74.4%
Precious Metals & Stones
+ R 2 897
+ 30.4%
Machinery & Electronics
+ R 1 204
+ 19.4%
Base Metals
+ R 731
+ 7.9%
Mineral Products
- R 1 932
-10.6%
 
The month-on-month import movements:
 
R’ million
 
Section:
Including BLNS:
Mineral Products
- R 4 236
- 22.5%
Machinery & Electronics
- R 2 417
- 11.1%
Vehicle & Transport Equipment
- R 1 252
- 12.5%
Plastics & Rubber
- R 875
- 21.5%
Vegetable Products
+ R 1 323
+ 98.8%

 

Trade highlights by world zone  
  
The world zone results for February 2015 are given below.  

Africa:

Exports: R23 121 million – this is an increase of R3 135 million from January 2015
Imports: R11 572 million – this is a decrease of R454 million from January 2015
Trade surplus: R11 549 million.
This is a 45.1% increase in comparison to the R7 960 million surplus recorded in January 2015

America:

Exports: R7 576 million – this is an increase of R744 million from January 2015
Imports: R9 438 million – this is a decrease of R394 million from January 2015
Trade deficit: R1 861 million
This is a 37.9% decrease in comparison to the R2 999 million deficit recorded in January 2015

Asia:

Exports: R22 828 million – this is an increase of R2 849 million from January 2015
Imports: R38 350 million – this is a decrease of R3 080 million from January 2015
Trade deficit: R15 522 million 
This is a 27.6% decrease in comparison to the R21 451 million deficit recorded in January 2015

Europe:

Exports: R18 307 million – this is an increase of R2 002 million from January 2015
Imports: R24 083 million – this is a decrease of R2 403 million from January 2015
Trade deficit: R5 775 million
This is a 43.3% decrease in comparison to the R10 180 million deficit recorded in January 2015

Oceania:

Exports: R 803 million – this is a decrease of R 62 million from January 2015
Imports: R1 709 million – this is an increase of R 351 million from January 2015
Trade deficit: R 906 million
This is an 83.7% increase comparison to the R 493 million deficit recorded in January 2015

» For further information, visit the SARS website.

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